Bonus & Wagering

Real Casino Bonus Value Calculator

A bonus's expected value = bonus − (total to wager × house edge).

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Bonus expected value

Formula: bonus − (bonus × wagering × (1 − RTP/100)). If the result is negative, the bonus statistically costs more than it returns.

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How it works

Not every bonus is a good deal. Expected value combines three variables — amount, wagering and game RTP — to tell you whether, statistically, the offer is worth it. The idea: to release the bonus you must stake bonus × wagering, and on that volume the house keeps on average (1 − RTP). If that cost exceeds the bonus, expected value is negative.

Use this number to compare different offers objectively, not by the advertised percentage. Remember the terms' limits: win cap, max bet and expiry can further reduce real value.

Useful terms

The words behind this calculation, explained without jargon.

FAQ

Does a negative expected value mean I shouldn't take it?
It means that, on mathematical average, clearing the wagering costs more than the bonus. It may still be fine for entertainment, but it isn't a statistical edge.
How do I increase bonus value?
Pick high-RTP games allowed at 100% by the terms and bonuses with low wagering. Higher RTP lowers the cost of each euro replayed.

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